Why did Democrats get hammered at the polls? The core problem is they have forgotten how to talk to Americans who don’t go to college. That’s 60% of the voters.  Democrats have alienated many blue-collar Americans by focusing on “identity” issues rather than economic concerns. They have emphasized “social justice” initiatives and transgender rights, which turns off many white voters as well as Latinos. The Democratic Party must become a Big Tent again, not a group of huts for identity groups.  

What will Trump do if he wins? Trump will establish a de facto dictatorship, by unleashing a two-pronged reign of terror and intimidation. Trump will prosecute his political “enemies” and lock up millions of immigrants in concentration camps. Trump will abandon Ukraine, allowing Putin to win the war, and dismantle the NATO alliance. This will be a green light for Xi Jinping to invade or otherwise take over Taiwan. The US will lose its role of global leader. 

Kamala Harris needs strong support from Black and Latino voters to win the election.  The good news for Harris: about 80% of Black voters and over half of Hispanics will probably cast their ballots for her.  The other news:  Harris’ support from these key groups is lower than Joe Biden’s was in 2020, particularly among men.  Both groups have felt the effects of inflation keenly. Donald Trump has convinced them, falsely, that Biden’s spending plans caused it.  But they also care about abortion access and the candidates’ characters, which helps Harris.